Yes, fairly easily. Stock m3 is like a 12.6 1/4 mile? You can get low 13s stock. People have gotten 12.6 at only stage 2. Stock m3 gets 0.95g skidpad. STI gets 0.93g. Simple alignment and you're there.
Obviously 1/4 mile and skidpad numbers don't necessarily predict track time outcomes but they're a good predictor.