Welcome to the North American Subaru Impreza Owners Club Monday September 25, 2017
Home Forums WikiNASIOC Products Store Modifications Upgrade Garage
Go Back   NASIOC > NASIOC General > News & Rumors > Non-Subaru News & Rumors

Welcome to NASIOC - The world's largest online community for Subaru enthusiasts!
Welcome to the NASIOC.com Subaru forum.

You are currently viewing our forum as a guest, which gives you limited access to view most discussions and access our other features. By joining our community, free of charge, you will have access to post topics, communicate privately with other members (PM), respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features. Registration is free, fast and simple, so please join our community today!

If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us.
* Registered users of the site do not see these ads. 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-09-2011, 05:25 PM   #1
Scooby Guru
Member#: 73805
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: NEPA
2017 911 Turbo
Miami Blue

Default Global Lithium-Ion Auto Battery Sales Set to Grow 600% by 2015

New study: Demand could hit $50 billion by decade’s end.
A new study finds reason to be charged up about lithium-ion batteries. It anticipates sales of the technology will grow by 600% between now and 2015 as more and more makers bring out hybrids, plug-ins and battery-electric vehicles.

The report, by the Roland Berger consultancy, anticipates sales could then surge from $9 billion to $50 billion worldwide by 2020.

The new study, meanwhile, anticipates that while a growing number of companies are getting into the automotive lithium-ion game, the market will be increasingly dominated by five companies, including American A123.
Until recently, automakers like Toyota – with its popular Prius – have relied on time-tested nickel-metal hydride batteries and that has meant that lithium suppliers were largely focused on consumer electronics markets, such as cellphones and laptop computers and, more recently, devices like the wildly popular Apple iPad.

But automakers are rapidly migrating to more advanced LIon systems in conventional hybrids – the first to market was the lithium-powered Hyundai Sonata Hybrid – to take advantage of more compact packaging, lighter weight and increased energy density. The ramp-up of automotive demand will only accelerate as new plug-in hybrids, extended-range electric vehicles, and battery-electric vehicles, or BEVs, go into production.

Ford will offer only lithium-powered versions of its C-Max people-mover in the U.S., a plug-in and a pure battery-electric version.

As a result, cars and light commercials will grow to account for more than 80% of lithium-ion battery sales by 2015, according to Roland Berger, which has offices in Munich and suburban Detroit. By mid-decade, the consultancy estimates 2.5 million hybrids, 300,000 plug-in hybrids and 500,000 electric vehicles will be coming off production lines each year.
“We expect the global market for Li-ion batteries to leap from the current volume of USD 1.5 billion to almost USD 9 billion in 2015,” says Wolfgang Bernhart, Partner at Roland Berger Strategy Consultants. “In our best-case scenario, worldwide market volume may even grow to over USD 50 billion by 2020.”
Bernhard also suggests that, “As sales surge, Japanese and Korean carmakers will be doing everything they can to establish themselves as the leading global providers of alternative drive technologies.

The downside of the rapid growth is that it likely to be accompanied by substantial overcapacity, meaning there could be twice as many batteries as buyers require, which should set the stage for consolidation.”

And for a much-anticipated plunge in prices. At the beginning of the decade, a LIon pack typically cost about $1,000 per kilowatt-hour. By some estimates that could dip to as little as $200 per kWh by 2010.

The five front-runners in lithium-ion batteries – AESC, LG Chem, Panasonic/Sanyo, A123 and SB LiMotive – can, between them, be expected to control almost 80 percent of the market by 2015.

Who dominates the market for batteries will depend, at least in part on what segment of the vehicle market you’re talking about.

In the case of electric-drive buses, China will certainly be a front-runner in coming years. The Roland Berger experts estimate that around 80% of LIon batteries for buses will be sold in China by 2015.

“This is due to the highly ambitious plans of the Chinese government. It is targeting investment at growth industries and is also keen to improve air quality in the cities,” explains Thomas Wendt, co-author of the study.

“By contrast, the Chinese electric car market will initially see slower growth than Western markets,” adds Bernhart. “Above all, that’s due to the changed priorities of the Chinese government. As a first step, it’s focusing on hybrid vehicles, with pure electric drives or plug-ins taking second place for a while.”
* Registered users of the site do not see these ads.
AVANTI R5 is offline   Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links
* Registered users of the site do not see these ads.

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Ford says its global sales will increase 50% by 2015 Indocti Discant Non-Subaru News & Rumors 4 06-07-2011 05:47 PM
Honda to launch EV by 2015 AVANTI R5 Non-Subaru News & Rumors 1 08-24-2009 07:45 PM
First Mass Manufacturing Line in the U.S. for Lithium-Ion Automotive Batteries AVANTI R5 Non-Subaru News & Rumors 0 05-07-2009 03:18 AM
Liberty Mutaul To Grow Mass Sales Force By 50 Percent BlownGasket Non-Subaru News & Rumors 0 11-09-2007 02:46 PM
Wal-Mart Seeks to Double Truck Fuel Economy by 2015 FunkerVogt Political Playground 25 12-19-2005 03:44 PM

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:24 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Powered by Searchlight © 2017 Axivo Inc.
Copyright ©1999 - 2017, North American Subaru Impreza Owners Club, Inc.